Al Ahly SC vs Wadi Degla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SMO
0 - 0
ALA
25%
27%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
TAN
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CFM
1 - 3
ALA
8%
17%
74%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | +9 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ENP
0 - 1
ALA
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wadi Degla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
WAD
0 - 2
ASY
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
MOK
0 - 0
WAD
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
WAD
1 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
ISM
2 - 1
WAD
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
WAD
2 - 3
ELR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |