Al Ahly SC vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
EEE
1 - 1
ALA
34%
30%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
GEI
62%
24%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 2
ALA
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
ISM
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 2
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
SMO
2 - 1
ISM
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ENP
2 - 0
SMO
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
SMO
2 - 1
ELD
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
ITT
3 - 3
SMO
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SMO
0 - 1
GOU
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |