CAF Champions League Round 1

Al Ahly SC vs Raja Casablanca analysis

Al Ahly SC Raja Casablanca
78 ELO 73
-3.8% Tilt 2.3%
1051º General ELO ranking 1327º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Al Ahly SC
18.1%
Draw
12.3%
Raja Casablanca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.3%
Win probability
Raja Casablanca
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahly SC
+21%
+13%
Raja Casablanca

ELO progression

Al Ahly SC
Raja Casablanca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2005
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 0
ENPPI
ENP
48%
24%
28%
78 77 1 0
29 Apr. 2005
ALA
Al Ahly SC
2 - 1
Ghazl El Mehalla
GHA
49%
26%
26%
77 75 2 +1
22 Apr. 2005
ALA
Al Ahly SC
2 - 2
USM Alger
USM
62%
21%
18%
78 76 2 -1
15 Apr. 2005
ISM
Ismaily
0 - 6
Al Ahly SC
ALA
46%
26%
29%
77 77 0 +1
08 Apr. 2005
USM
USM Alger
0 - 1
Al Ahly SC
ALA
56%
21%
23%
77 77 0 0

Matches

Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2005
RCA
Raja Casablanca
0 - 2
FAR Rabat
FAR
52%
27%
21%
74 74 0 0
12 Jun. 2005
OLY
Olympic Safi
0 - 1
Raja Casablanca
RCA
47%
29%
25%
74 73 1 0
05 Jun. 2005
RCA
Raja Casablanca
5 - 0
Kawkab Marrakech
KAW
53%
27%
20%
74 72 2 0
29 May. 2005
MEK
CODM Meknes
0 - 1
Raja Casablanca
RCA
32%
33%
36%
74 70 4 0
21 May. 2005
FUR
FUS Rabat
0 - 1
Raja Casablanca
RCA
37%
30%
33%
75 71 4 -1