Al-Ahly vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
JSK
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
GEI
0 - 1
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
JSK
1 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
ELS
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
HEA
2 - 1
ISM
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 0
HEA
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
JSK
1 - 0
HEA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
HEA
1 - 1
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
KWA
1 - 0
HEA
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |