Al-Ahly vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 1
ELD
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 2
MOK
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ELR
0 - 3
ALA
28%
31%
42%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
ENP
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SMO
0 - 2
ALA
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 2
ALI
35%
31%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MOK
4 - 0
GHA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
4 - 1
ELR
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ENP
3 - 1
GHA
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
GHA
0 - 1
SMO
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |