Al-Ahly vs El Sharkia Zagazig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ELN
0 - 3
ALA
16%
27%
57%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
GEI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EEE
0 - 2
ALA
30%
30%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
TAN
0 - 1
ALA
16%
30%
54%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALI
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Sharkia Zagazig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ELS
1 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
PET
1 - 0
ELS
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
ELS
3 - 2
ASW
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELS
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ELS
1 - 2
WAD
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |