Al Ahly Shendi vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly Shendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 2
ALA
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
KSC
1 - 1
ALA
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
ALA
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
AAS
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAY
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
AAS
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 3
KSC
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 2
AAS
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |