Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al Dahra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AMT
1 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 2
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
3 - 0
MLB
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 20 | 49 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
TRI
2 - 0
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Al Dahra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ADS
0 - 2
AMT
24%
27%
48%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 1
ADS
67%
21%
12%
|
12 | 69 | 57 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ADS
2 - 1
ASA
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
MLB
1 - 1
ADS
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ADS
0 - 0
AAA
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |