Crown Prince Cup Saudi Arabia Quarter-finals

Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis

Al-Ahli SFC Al-Nassr
76 ELO 79
7.7% Tilt 12.2%
854º General ELO ranking 870º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.9%
Al-Ahli SFC
24.3%
Draw
30.8%
Al-Nassr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Al-Ahli SFC
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.8%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Ahli SFC
+53%
+41%
Al-Nassr

ELO progression

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Nassr
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Ahli SFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2012
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
4 - 1
Al-Shoalah FC
ALS
74%
17%
9%
76 61 15 0
13 Dec. 2012
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
1 - 1
Al-Taawoun
ALT
65%
21%
14%
76 68 8 0
08 Dec. 2012
ALR
Al-Raed
1 - 1
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
42%
26%
33%
76 73 3 0
04 Dec. 2012
ALS
Al-Shoalah FC
1 - 3
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
22%
24%
54%
75 61 14 +1
30 Nov. 2012
ALI
Al-Ittihad
1 - 3
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
54%
23%
23%
75 77 2 0

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2012
ALT
Al-Taawoun
2 - 4
Al-Nassr
ALN
32%
24%
44%
79 68 11 0
12 Dec. 2012
ALR
Al-Raed
0 - 2
Al-Nassr
ALN
38%
26%
37%
78 73 5 +1
09 Dec. 2012
ALN
Al-Nassr
0 - 0
Al-Fateh SC
ALF
48%
25%
27%
78 78 0 0
05 Dec. 2012
0 - 2
Al-Nassr
ALN
24%
23%
54%
79 61 18 -1
27 Nov. 2012
ALN
Al-Nassr
3 - 0
77%
15%
8%
78 62 16 +1