Al Ahed vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALA
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALG
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALA
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 2
ALA
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAF
0 - 6
ALA
21%
24%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAF
0 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TAD
0 - 0
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 2
ALN
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 3
SHA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -3 |