FC Aktobe vs Kaspiy Aktau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
3º
17
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
AKS
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 2
ATY
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kaspiy Aktau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AKS
0 - 1
KAS
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
ATY
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
KAS
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
KAS
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
KAS
0 - 1
FKT
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |