Aktobe II vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
13º
60
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
EKI
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 57 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 1
FKA
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKY
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
7 - 1
FKA
74%
18%
8%
|
16 | 74 | 58 | -1 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKZ
2 - 1
FKY
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
FKZ
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKZ
1 - 1
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FJQ
0 - 1
FKZ
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKZ
2 - 0
FKA
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |