Aktobe II vs Yelimay Semey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
14º
13º
76
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
FKY
5 - 0
FKA
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 6
FKT
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 69 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TAR
7 - 1
FKA
79%
15%
6%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
FJQ
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 3
FKA
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 0
FKY
11%
18%
72%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FKY
75%
18%
7%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 0
TAR
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FJQ
0 - 2
FKY
8%
14%
79%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKY
6 - 0
FKA
4%
8%
88%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | +12 |