Akademik Svishtov vs Lokomotiv Dryanovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
7º
18
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademik Svishtov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
ASV
33%
24%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
ABV
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKD
1 - 0
ASV
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 4
YPT
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LOD
1 - 0
FKD
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
YPT
6 - 1
LOD
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOD
1 - 2
PAV
12%
19%
70%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BTL
0 - 2
LOD
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOD
0 - 1
JUV
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |