Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 0-6
AP Brera vs Zrinjski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 1
AKP
42%
23%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
AKP
1 - 1
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
MAK
2 - 2
AKP
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SHK
4 - 1
AKP
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
AKP
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
ZRI
2 - 1
NSM
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
ZRI
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
KRS
1 - 5
ZRI
17%
23%
59%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ZBE
0 - 0
ZRI
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ZRI
5 - 1
SLO
77%
17%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |