AP Brera vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
AKP
46%
24%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VOK
1 - 1
AKP
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
AKP
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
GOS
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 0
FCS
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 3
FCS
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |