AP Brera vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
3 - 0
FKS
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
AKP
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAB
0 - 5
AKP
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
SIL
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCS
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |