Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
AND
1 - 1
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
APE
1 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VVV
0 - 4
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 3
NAC
31%
23%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 3
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |