Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBK
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 2
AZA
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
RBC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
5 - 2
ZWO
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |