Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 1
GCZ
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
AUX
0 - 1
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VOL
2 - 1
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FEY
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |