Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 1
ADO
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 1
VVV
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UTR
4 - 2
VVV
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 3
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 0
VVV
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |