Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ELI
0 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
RAP
2 - 1
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
58%
19%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 3
AJA
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
VVV
4 - 1
PSV
30%
22%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ENS
3 - 0
VVV
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
VVV
0 - 1
MVV
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
ADO
1 - 0
VVV
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
VVV
2 - 0
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |