Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
MVV
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |