Ajax vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 1
TEL
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
VOL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 0
DWS
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
TIR
1 - 1
SDL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
SDL
3 - 0
TIR
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
KIL
1 - 0
TIR
68%
17%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
TIR
0 - 0
KIL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |