Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRA
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MVV
0 - 4
AJA
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 1
GAE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
CSK
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 2
TEL
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
TEL
1 - 0
HFC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AZA
2 - 1
TEL
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
TEL
3 - 2
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
TEL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |