Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SHS
0 - 3
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
FCN
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
VVD
1 - 1
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
TEL
3 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 0
TEL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
GAE
3 - 0
TEL
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
TEL
1 - 1
GRO
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |