Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
55%
21%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ADO
1 - 1
SPA
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 0
TWE
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 5
PSV
11%
18%
71%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |