Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 3
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
VOL
1 - 1
SPA
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 2
UTR
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |