Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 0
VVV
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 2
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |