Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRO
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 5
AJA
23%
20%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
2 - 1
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 2
LAU
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FOR
1 - 2
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
LAU
3 - 0
SPA
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |