Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 1
AZA
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 0
RAP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 5
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 5
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
PSV
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FEY
0 - 1
SPA
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
ADO
5 - 2
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
5 - 2
ADO
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 0
VVV
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |