Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 3
DWS
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 2
VVD
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOS
3 - 1
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
SPA
4 - 2
VVD
48%
21%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 1
VVV
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SPA
3 - 4
PSV
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
ENS
1 - 1
SPA
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |