Ajax vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SPA
4 - 2
MBO
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
JAB
2 - 1
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
SIG
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
SKK
0 - 2
SPA
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |