Q. Europa League Play Offs. Final
Global 7-1
Ajax vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SBR
1 - 1
PET
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
RUZ
1 - 3
SBR
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
OLP
2 - 0
SBR
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SBR
3 - 0
KOS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
SBR
0 - 2
OLP
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |