Eredivisie Round 24

Ajax vs Roda JC analysis

Ajax Roda JC
89 ELO 73
9.6% Tilt 28.9%
107º General ELO ranking 779º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
76.3%
Ajax
14.8%
Draw
9%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
Ajax
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+1%
-14%
Roda JC

ELO progression

Ajax
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2012
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 4
Ajax
AJA
14%
19%
67%
88 63 25 0
23 Feb. 2012
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
74%
16%
11%
89 95 6 -1
19 Feb. 2012
AJA
Ajax
4 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
78%
14%
7%
88 73 15 +1
16 Feb. 2012
AJA
Ajax
0 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
24%
24%
52%
89 94 5 -1
11 Feb. 2012
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
12%
19%
69%
88 71 17 +1

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
76%
16%
8%
74 61 13 0
18 Feb. 2012
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
47%
24%
29%
74 77 3 0
11 Feb. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
55%
23%
22%
74 73 1 0
03 Feb. 2012
SCH
Heerenveen
4 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
63%
19%
18%
74 80 6 0
28 Jan. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
30%
25%
45%
73 86 13 +1