Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 1
BOS
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
HHA
0 - 3
AJA
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 6
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 0
WOL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
RJC
2 - 1
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
RJC
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 2
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |