Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MUD
1 - 2
AJA
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
5 - 1
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 1
VCF
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 2
PSV
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |