Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCK
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
SCH
5 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
PAO
3 - 2
PSV
34%
24%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 1
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
GAL
2 - 0
PSV
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |