Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 1
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 2
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
PSV
6 - 0
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
PSV
4 - 1
NEC
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
PSV
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |