Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
FCD
1 - 3
AJA
6%
12%
82%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
RJC
0 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
AJA
63%
19%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
PSV
9 - 1
ADO
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
BOS
0 - 2
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
HFC
1 - 2
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
PSV
7 - 0
FCD
94%
4%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |