Ajax vs Parma analysis


88	ELO	89
13.9%	Tilt	20.6%
104º	General ELO ranking	86º
4º	Country ELO ranking	16º
ELO win probability

57.7%

Ajax

23.4%

Draw

19%

Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

57.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%

23.4%

Draw

0-0

7.1%

1-1

11.1%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

23.4%

19%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
20 Feb. 1994	AJA 3 - 0 UTR 79% 14% 7%	88	72	16
13 Feb. 1994	SPA 0 - 1 AJA 21% 23% 57%	88	69	19
06 Feb. 1994	PSV 4 - 1 AJA 47% 24% 30%	88	88	0
02 Feb. 1994	RKC 0 - 3 AJA 22% 23% 56%	88	68	20
30 Jan. 1994	AJA 3 - 1 VIT 69% 19% 13%	88	84	4

Matches

Parma

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
27 Feb. 1994	PAR 2 - 1 USC 63% 24% 14%	89	80	9
23 Feb. 1994	PAR 0 - 1 SAM 42% 29% 29%	89	89	0
20 Feb. 1994	USF 3 - 2 PAR 34% 28% 38%	89	82	7
13 Feb. 1994	PAR 2 - 1 SAM 40% 28% 32%	89	89	0
08 Feb. 1994	SAM 2 - 1 PAR 57% 24% 19%	89	89	0