Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VVV
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 4
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
BVV
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 4
TWE
18%
26%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 4
NEC
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |