Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 1
AJA
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 2
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOR
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
DZG
3 - 2
NEC
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIT
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 2
NEC
61%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DBU
0 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |