Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
UTR
3 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VIT
3 - 0
AJA
35%
25%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
NEC
4 - 1
VIT
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
GRO
4 - 4
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
RBC
2 - 3
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 2
RJC
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |