Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
NEC
2 - 1
WIL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 1
UTR
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 1
RKC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |