Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 1
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
27%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1990 |
FOR
1 - 1
AJA
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
RJC
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 0
RKC
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |