Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.5%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.2%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
1.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 1
HFC
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
71%
16%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 0
VVV
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEC
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 0
NEC
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NEC
2 - 5
PSV
12%
23%
65%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |