Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.6%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
1.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
AJA
9 - 1
ADO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
AJA
2 - 0
MVV
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
RJC
4 - 1
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
GAE
0 - 0
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |