Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1972 |
IND
1 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
PSV
0 - 3
AJA
34%
28%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
AJA
6 - 0
GAE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
HFC
97%
3%
1%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
NEC
2 - 0
TEL
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
58%
26%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
NEC
3 - 1
DWS
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |