Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
AJA
8 - 1
NAC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
NEC
2 - 1
DWS
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 0
MVV
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 3
NEC
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
NEC
3 - 3
GAE
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |